The Crooked Link

Life of a Low Stakes Gambler...

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Tomorrow's Game

Yet another break even day on Sunday with the football picks going 2-2 and losing .90 cents on the day. I did not have a play on the Monday Night Football game last night and I really don't like anything tonight either.

Instead, I'm looking forward to tomorrow's game between Mexico and Honduras. Big game for Mexico here as they could potentially be eliminated from the 2010 South African World Cup with a loss tomorrow and a big win by Jamaica over Canada.

Because of the fact that they've struggled a whole lot in past games in Honduras they are an underdog in tomorrow's match with a tempting price on the moneyline of +175.

The problem is that since a draw would assure Mexico's qualification into the next stage of the World Cup qualifiers, they may just play for a tie. A line has not been posted yet by BookMaker on a spread line for the game but if it is anywhere close to Mexico (Pick) -140 which is what I estimate it is going to be, then I'm probably going to unload on that play for at least $30 because I just really don't see Mexico losing tomorrow.

They've got their full squad going for the match with all their superstar players who play in Europe expected to play so I can at least see them coming away with a 1-0 victory.

I'll have to wait and see what the line is though but definitely looking forward to the game.


Total Record: 162-174-8

Bankroll: $118.65

Total Profit: -$81.35

1 comment:

vtn said...

mexico it is? which soccer league is that? bodog hast like 98273894387 on the leftside tabl.